NBA Preview, Sun Feb 12 – DraftKings & Fanduel

NBA Preview, Sun Feb 12 – DraftKings & Fanduel

Keep a close eye on that Kings injury report. If Ty Lawson and Garrett Temple cannot suit it, it’s going to be all the minutes that Darren Collison can handle. In a similar situation on Friday, Collison logged 44 minutes, scoring 22 real points and providing his fantasy owners with 36.25 DraftKings points. That was simply a chaser to his 42.75 DK point game on Wednesday. This is an excellent matchup with New Orleans who allows the 6th most fantasy points to opposing PGs.

Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar

He comes with some risk, but hard to overlook Jimmy Butler tonight. His right heel has hampered Butler, who has only played in two games this month. He missed three contests before returning on Friday night and scoring 35 DraftKings points. You’d love to fire up Butler who should be significantly underowned in a matchup with Minnesota. On paper, the T-Wolves allow the 4th fewest DraftKings points to opposing SGs, but Butler scorched them for 54.75 DK points in their only meeting.

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We’ve talked about DeMarre Carroll plenty this season. Tonight he presents another interesting dilemma. Carroll logged 34 minutes on Wednesday and scored 35.25 DK points. That’s the second time in the last three that he’s scored at least 31 DK points. Carroll can contribute in most categories and you won’t find too many players in this price range who could play 32-34 minutes. The risk comes with his role in the rotation. Carroll will need to start hot and play well to achieve that upper range in playing time.

I’m getting ready to fire up Jonas Valanciunas tonight. JV gets a significant price decrease after a sub-par 23.75 DK point outing. However, in the three games prior, JV averaged 36.6 DK PPG. Valancuinas is a walking double-double in points and rebounds who should be licking his chops to face Detroit tonight. In their only meeting this season, JV tallied 48.25 DraftKings points. Now it’s worth noting that was literally the first game of the season, but his 32 real points have not been surpassed in any game since.

NBA Preview, Tue Feb 7 – DraftKings & Fanduel

NBA Preview, Tue Feb 7 – DraftKings & Fanduel

Really tough slate for PGs. You can pay the obscene price for James Harden on the short slate or flock to Yogi Ferrell at $6,000. This price is flying up the charts for Yogi but he’s been playing on a 10-day contract and filling it up for his owners. He’s scored 26.5, 38.25, 25.25 and 45.5 DraftKings points in his last four games. Ferrell continued his solid play last night with a 15-5-2-2-1 line for the Mavs in a blowout. That highest scoring game was his career best against the Trail Blazers who allow the most points to opposing guards in the league. He faces them again tonight.

Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar

Kemba Walker has really struggled against Brooklyn this season, averaging only 33.2 DK PPG in three meetings, despite it being one of the best matchups he could ask for. His team, Nicolas Batum on the other hand, has prospered in those contests, averaging 40.3 DK PPG. Batum is a well rounded player who can contribute in all five categories, but he comes with some significant risk. He’s a volatile player, but will garner plenty of my shares on this short slate.

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Should be interesting to see the ownership on Serge Ibaka tonight. He was dominating last week, scoring 40+ in three straight games and just when everyone got on the bandwagon, he lays a complete dud for 10 DraftKings points. Fantasy owners are prone to recency bias, so they may be avoiding Ibaka despite how good he has been recently. Ibaka is a double-double threat every night with multi-block upside. He will benefit from additional possessions in a game with Houston that should have plenty of points scored.

I’m buying both Hornets centers in Frank Kaminsky and Miles Plumlee. In an exchange of big men, the Hornets acquired Plumlee and shipped away both Spencer Hawes and Roy Hibbert to Milwaukee. With Cody Zeller out, the Hornets only have two options in the paint which are, you guessed it, Kaminsky and Plumlee. Kaminksy has a higher upside with the ability to shoot threes. However, it’s hard to overlook Plumlee who is min-priced and will likely play around 20 minutes of action. It’s a great matchup for both with Brooklyn.

 

NBA Preview, Mon Jan 30 – DraftKings & Fanduel

NBA Preview, Mon Jan 30 – DraftKings & Fanduel

Consider investing in Goran Dragic who is shouldering a heavy load on the Miami offense right now. Over his last six games, he’s averaging 41 DraftKings PPG, compared to 35.9 over the course of the season. The home matchup with Brooklyn doesn’t get much better. Dragic is already six points better at home this season and scorched Brooklyn for 44.75 DK points in their only meeting.

Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar

Oh man, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will drive you absolutely mad but he’s a GPP option for tonight. Here’s his last five games: 8.5, 34.75, 1.5, 34.24 and 42.5. Those are not typos. He’s scored 34+ on three occasions and less than nine in the other two. Two good pieces of news… 1) he plays a ton of minutes and 2) he launches a ton of threes. If he catches fire from deep, he can fill it up in a hurry against Boston tonight. He’s averaging 31 DraftKings PPG in two meetings with Boston this season.

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Oh hey Zach Randolph! The dude is ballin’ out right now, scoring 36+ DK points in six of his last ten games and is coming off games of 40.75 and 42.25 DK points. He’s averaging 34.2 MPG over his last three which is up significantly from his 24.2 MPG average this season. He’s a walking double-double in a great matchup with Phoenix tonight.

Brook Lopez has tallied 40+ DraftKings points in five of six, but his salary still hangs at $6,500 in DraftKings. His fantasy value is fairly closely tied to his real scoring, but he will take enough shots to make give himself a change at big time value. Lopez will battle the Miami interior which surrendered 45 DraftKings points to him in their only meeting this season.

NBA Preview, Sun Jan 29 – DraftKings & Fanduel

NBA Preview, Sun Jan 29 – DraftKings & Fanduel

Jrue Holiday is absolutely scorching right now. The Pelicans PG is averaging 52.6 DK PPG in his last three games thank to being a contributor in all five categories. Holiday will be an appealing option against Washington with this game expected to be be played a breakneck pace. Holiday has extreme home/road splits, averaging 10 DK points more per game in New Orleans with comparable minutes. There are appealing options on both sides of Holiday’s salary so I wonder if he will be overlooked on this slate.

Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar

There is no doubt plenty of turmoil in Chicago but it hasn’t negatively impacted Dwyane Wade this week. Sure, he came off the bench and only scored 29 DraftKings points on Friday night, but I am willing to overlook that game. He will be back to his normal starting role and workload on Sunday against the Sixers. In the last three games that Wade started, he scored 47.75, 49.25 and 58.5 DraftKings points, which would be plenty at this price tag tonight. The Sixers have obviously played much better basketball this month, but are still susceptible to allowing big time performances from opponents. Wade will look to replicate his 43 DraftKings points in only 28 minutes in their first meeting.

Paul George is the beneficiary of an excellent matchup tonight, which we will get to in a second. Let’s start with his three straight 30+ scoring games which is the first time he has accomplished that feat this season. That has produced an average of 46.5 DK PPG in that stretch and his price hasn’t moved a dollar since the 23rd. Tonight the Pacers will battle the Houston Rockets which is shaping up to be an absolute barn-burner. These are two of the fastest teams in the league in terms of possessions and both allow more points to opponents than the league average.

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No Joel Embiid for the Sixers tonight, which allows you to take your pick of the Sixers front court options. Both Nerlens Noel and Richaun Holmes will be popular options. Noel had two massive nights in his last two without JoJo in the lineup. Nerlens poured in 37.25 and 46 DraftKings points in his absence. He’s the rare combination of elite blocks and elite steals. If he’s going to also tack on a points/rebounds double-double then he is going to be an excellent play each night that Embiid sits. I’m slightly partial to Holmes who is just too much fun to watch. This dude is high energy on both ends of the court and tallied 20.5 and 24.25 in the last two without Embiid. He’s more high risk, with volatile minutes, but he cannot be overlooked tonight.

Ehhhh, you should probably buy Nene Hilario right now. His minutes are trending up (16, 22, 27 in L3) and he’s rewarding his owners. Those last three games have produced 23.25, 35.5 and 32 DraftKings points. He’s stuffing the stat sheet in multiple categories and wreaking havoc on opposing defenses. Have I mentioned that hes nearly min-priced at $3,200? If he sees 20+ minutes again tonight in this matchup with Indy, he has legit 10x upside.

NBA Preview, Sat Jan 28 – DraftKings & Fanduel

NBA Preview, Sat Jan 28 – DraftKings & Fanduel

The price on Kemba Walker just doesn’t feel right. He will benefit from the pricing being released before his monster game last night. In that contest, Walker dropped a 31-10-5 line on the Knicks. He also tallied 45 DraftKings points on Wednesday against the Warriors so Walker is definitely feelin’ it right now. His usage rates are off the charts as he carries this Hornets offense. He’s launched 23, 24 and 29 shots in his last three and will return home tonight, where Kemba is four points better per game, to battle the Sacramento Kings.

Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar

Austin Rivers is an interesting option as his price begins to stabilize. Rivers is coming off two solid games in a row, scoring 27 and 20 real points. He’s playing monster minutes (80 in L2) and I believe he will actually benefit from Blake Griffin being back in the lineup. That will alleviate the pressure for Rivers to be the #1 scoring option, but the entire offense will still run through the point guard. The Warriors fast pace should allow for plenty of possessions in this game. With Stephen Curry questionable for tonight, Shaun Livingston might be tasked with defending Rivers. That would be a slight upgrade for Rivers as Livingston owns a 108 DRTG compared to Curry’s 105.

This is a fairly deep pull, but T.J. Warren is on my radar tonight. Remember that before his head injury this season, Warren was an excellent fantasy option on a nightly basis. He was essentially a one DK point per minute player. Since then, he’s averaging seven MPG less and nine less PPG. So, why am I optimistic? Well, Warren is coming off 41 big minutes on Thursday night where he dropped a 21-8 line, for 33.5 DraftKings points. I am hoping he can parlay that into another solid outing in a matchup with Denver which is dripping with potential fantasy points. There are few guys at the shallow SF position who can offer as much upside.

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You like home/road splits? Then look no further than Karl-Anthony Towns. Towns is a solid player on the road, averaging 41.9 DK PPG this season, but he pumps that up to a massive 51 DK PPG at home, where he will be tonight. Take that for what it’s worth. but that’s one of the largest discrepancies of any player in the league. Entering tonight, Towns has scored 58+ DK points in three of his last four and is going to be drooling in this matchup with Brooklyn, who has had no answer for anyone in the paint this season.

Jusuf Nurkic will certainly be popular tonight as he is thrust into action against the Suns. Nurkic has spent most of the past few weeks riding the pine with the emergence of Nikola Jokic. However, Jokic injured his hip and will not be suiting up for tonight. That leaves Nurkic with plenty of minutes tonight. He has played 20+ minutes on 18 different occasions this season and is averaging 29.4 DK PPG in those contests. Such a game tonight would result in 6.8x value at this price tag.

NBA Preview, Wed Jan 25 – DraftKings & Fanduel

NBA Preview, Wed Jan 25 – DraftKings & Fanduel

Russell Westbrook gets a significant price increase tonight to $12,800 from $11,500. That might scare some owners away, but Westbrook is still “invest-able” tonight. He’s had a price tag of $12.8K or high on eight separate occasions this season. He’s averaging 63.7 DK PPG in those games and the matchup with New Orleans is sublime. In two meetings, Westbrook is averaging 68.6 DK PPG against the Pellies who are one of the worst teams in the league against point guards. I don’t need to tell you that Russell is a walking triple-double who has scored 70+ DK points in six of his last ten.

Today’s Projections | NBA Game Logs | Player Scoring Calendar

The GPP play of the day appears to be Nicolas Batum. He’s a true five category player who can fill it up across the board. The problem for Batum is that he’s been extremely volatile. His last four games have notched 20.75, 44.75, 27 and 38.25 DraftKings points. That’s really just a microcosm of his season. Facing the Warriors tonight should increase the pace for the Hornets and put Batum in a good situation. If you can stomach the risk, you may be able to unlock the reward.

If DeMar DeRozan doesn’t suit up again tonight, expect Norman Powell to slide back into the starting lineup. Powell started last night and played 39 minutes while contributing a 16-4-2-2-1 line. He’s a capable scorer in this league and should go overlooked amongst his Raptors teammates in terms of ownership. You’ll be hard pressed to find someone under $4,000 who will play as many minutes as Norman Powell.

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I am in love with DeMarcus Cousins tonight. He’s an absolute monster who is going to take 20+ shots and clean the glass. He’s scored 53+ DK points in six of his last seven while notching more than 63 DraftKings points in two of his last four. Cousins probably has a 20% chance of being the highest scoring player on the slate and he’s $2,000 cheaper than Russell Westbrook. It’s been the Boogie show all season, but he will be asked to carry the Kings without Rudy Gay for the rest of the season. The big concern here is that the Cavs might blow this game wide open and keep Cousins on the bench late in the game.

Here’s Marc Gasol‘s last four games: 46.75, 42.5, 47.75 and 48.25. That is very quietly producing 6x value in each and every game. He has scored at least 24 real points in each of those contests and is averaging 28 PPG in that span. For a big man, he won’t contribute too much on the glass, but he’s a capable facilitator and is in the midst of his best stretch of basketball this season.