NFL Week 6 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

NFL Week 6 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

Here are NFL Projections for Week 6! Below you will find both the online and downloadable versions of my NFL Projections. This week is now using 2016 data, so the projections are a little volatile.  Also, NFL tends to be one of the harder sports to make projections for. The lack of overall data from only 16 games and the overall volatility of the game makes exact projections difficult. I would use these to projections to identify value play and those players who are in good matchups.

These projections take will take into account three main factors: recent performance, matchup and Vegas Line. Those three factors lend themselves very well to fantasy scoring.

You can watch me build this spreadsheet here.

Glossary:

2x, 3x, 4x – The amount of fantasy points a player needs to score to reach 2x, 3x and 4x value on his salary.
DVP – The amount of fantasy points a defense allows to that specific position. (1.4 means they allow 1.4x the league average).
TmTot – The projected points a team will score according to the Las Vegas line.
AvgTmTot – The average projected points total for that team according to Las Vegas lines.
%2x, %3x and %4x – The liklihood that a player reaches those value milestones.
Mean – Average fantasy points scored by that player.
StdDev – The mathematical calculation for standard deviation.

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Week 6 DFS Projections (DK and FD)

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DraftKings CSV | Fanduel CSV

NFL Week 5 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

NFL Week 5 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

Here are NFL Projections for Week 5! Below you will find both the online and downloadable versions of my NFL Projections. This week is now using 2016 data, so the projections are a little volatile.  Also, NFL tends to be one of the harder sports to make projections for. The lack of overall data from only 16 games and the overall volatility of the game makes exact projections difficult. I would use these to projections to identify value play and those players who are in good matchups.

These projections take will take into account three main factors: recent performance, matchup and Vegas Line. Those three factors lend themselves very well to fantasy scoring.

You can watch me build this spreadsheet here.

Glossary:

2x, 3x, 4x – The amount of fantasy points a player needs to score to reach 2x, 3x and 4x value on his salary.
DVP – The amount of fantasy points a defense allows to that specific position. (1.4 means they allow 1.4x the league average).
TmTot – The projected points a team will score according to the Las Vegas line.
AvgTmTot – The average projected points total for that team according to Las Vegas lines.
%2x, %3x and %4x – The liklihood that a player reaches those value milestones.
Mean – Average fantasy points scored by that player.
StdDev – The mathematical calculation for standard deviation.

Pro Members Download Below

Week 5 DFS Projections (DK and FD)

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DraftKings CSV | Fanduel CSV

NFL Week 4 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

NFL Week 4 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

Here are NFL Projections for Week 4! Below you will find both the online and downloadable versions of my NFL Projections. This week is now using 2016 data, so the projections are a little volatile. Since we only have one game of information, basically anyone who had a good Week 1 is also projected to do so again this week.  Also, NFL tends to be one of the harder sports to make projections for. The lack of overall data from only 16 games and the overall volatility of the game makes exact projections difficult. I would use these to projections to identify value play and those players who are in good matchups.

These projections take will take into account three main factors: recent performance, matchup and Vegas Line. Those three factors lend themselves very well to fantasy scoring.

You can watch me build this spreadsheet here.

Glossary:

2x, 3x, 4x – The amount of fantasy points a player needs to score to reach 2x, 3x and 4x value on his salary.
DVP – The amount of fantasy points a defense allows to that specific position. (1.4 means they allow 1.4x the league average).
TmTot – The projected points a team will score according to the Las Vegas line.
AvgTmTot – The average projected points total for that team according to Las Vegas lines.
%2x, %3x and %4x – The liklihood that a player reaches those value milestones.
Mean – Average fantasy points scored by that player.
StdDev – The mathematical calculation for standard deviation.

Pro Members Download Below

Week 4 DFS Projections (DK and FD)

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NFL Week 3 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

NFL Week 3 Projections – DraftKings & Fanduel

Here are NFL Projections for Week 3! Below you will find both the online and downloadable versions of my NFL Projections. This week is now using 2016 data, so the projections are a little volatile. Since we only have one game of information, basically anyone who had a good Week 1 is also projected to do so again this week.  Also, NFL tends to be one of the harder sports to make projections for. The lack of overall data from only 16 games and the overall volatility of the game makes exact projections difficult. I would use these to projections to identify value play and those players who are in good matchups.

These projections take will take into account three main factors: recent performance, matchup and Vegas Line. Those three factors lend themselves very well to fantasy scoring.

You can watch me build this spreadsheet here.

Glossary:

2x, 3x, 4x – The amount of fantasy points a player needs to score to reach 2x, 3x and 4x value on his salary.
DVP – The amount of fantasy points a defense allows to that specific position. (1.4 means they allow 1.4x the league average).
TmTot – The projected points a team will score according to the Las Vegas line.
AvgTmTot – The average projected points total for that team according to Las Vegas lines.
%2x, %3x and %4x – The liklihood that a player reaches those value milestones.
Mean – Average fantasy points scored by that player.
StdDev – The mathematical calculation for standard deviation.

Pro Members Download Below

Week 3 DFS Projections (DK and FD)

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2016 NFL Points Allowed By Position

2016 NFL Points Allowed By Position

This is a nice little tool to see which positions you should target against certain positions. Obviously, this will get more helpful as more data is entered but you’ll be able to see which teams give up the most DraftKings, Fanduel and Standard points to specific positions. All the charts are sorted by Average Points Allowed. Remember this is points allowed. So if you see 28 points next to New Orleans, that’s how many points they surrendered to their opponent that week. Enjoy!

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Download Excel (Updated Through Week 17)

2016 NFL Player Scoring Calendar

2016 NFL Player Scoring Calendar

The Player Scoring Calendar is a nice visualization of how many fantasy points a player scores on a weekly basis. You can use this tool to see which players are trending up or down, who has scored the most points in the last four weeks or any combination of scoring trends you can think of! The calendar is available for DraftKings, Fanduel, PPR and standard scoring. As more weeks pass, this will be a really incredible tool for you.

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Download Excel (Updated through Week 17)