PGA Valero Texas Open Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

PGA Valero Texas Open Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

Valero Texas Open

Defending Champ, Charley Hoffman, will head back to San Antonio, TX to defend his title. This week’s Research Spreadsheet includes:

*NEW* Key Stats – Breakdown and ranking of “Key Stats” for the this tournament, with new scoring system.
Past Performances – How players have fared at this tournament in the past, broken down by year (since 1986)
Historic Performances – How players have fared at this tournament in the past, by totals (since inception – min three appearances)
Recent Performance- Full stats for the L5 years at this tournament and L10 weeks on TOUR.
Full Box Scores – All final performance stats for years 2016, 2015 and 2014.
Betting Odds – Odds for each player to win and top 10
DraftKings Salaries 

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The RBC Heritage, “The Charts” – DraftKings

The RBC Heritage, “The Charts” – DraftKings

Welcome to “The Charts”, a series that will take a deep dive on a weekly basis into PGA salaries, Vegas odds, Expected Ownership, and last but certainly not least; value. In a world where the edges in daily fantasy are so slim, every informational advantage possible needs to be exploited aggressively without hesitation. This series is designed to help you find that edge.

Salary Vs. Vegas Odds

While I don’t suggest making decision based purely on Vegas Odds when it comes to golf, I think it’s a useful way to determine where you might find golfers with unexpected value. I am extremely pleased to say that this week one of my favorites over the past few months is one of the most obvious standouts on the Salary Vs. Vegas Odds chart we’ve seen all season. This week brings us a couple of very interesting potential value spots, the first of which is Danny Lee who was completely off my radar until now. After a closer look Danny Lee has three top twenty-five finishes in his last four events. He doesn’t exactly shout “upside” but is certainly worth a small bit of exposure in GPPs in a weaker field this week. The other standout when comparing Vegas odds is Dominic Bozzelli who has roughly 130:1 odds to win and is near the minimum salary. I won’t be going overboard on Bozzelli but definitely will be taking a shot on him as a flier.

Click To Enlarge!

Salary Vs. Ownership Projections

For those of you who are unfamiliar with my work, each week I do ownership projections that have stood the test of time, and been proven accurate for over a season now. The ownership projections you see here are my initial projections and will be updated as the week goes on so be sure to follow me on twitter to find out where you can get all the most updated ownership information. This week is a bit tough given the week field, which ordinarily comes with ownership that is a bit more clustered on a few golfers more so than usual. Given that it’s early in the week it’s tough to know for sure who those players will be, but early on it seems Tyrrell Hatton may be a candidate for low ownership. With nearly 30% ownership during the masters where he missed the cut I expect most to have an ugly pit in their stomach at the mention of Hatton, which means one of the strongest players in the field is going to be low owned and under priced: Sign me up!

Click To Enlarge!

Salary Vs. OWGR

Do you wonder how quickly the salaries are adjusted as a result of player’s performance? Ever wonder if there are players who’s prices don’t reflect their overall skill? These are questions you should be asking every week if you are serious about DFS, and now you can get the answer in one easy chart.

What an interesting chart this week when comparing Salary Vs. OWGR. The weak field in this event really shows, however there are some really interesting potential values this week. the biggest standout at this point is Danny Willett who is just north of $7,000, yet is the 17th ranked golfer in the world. This marks one of the largest skill vs salary differentials we’ve seen, largely due to Willett’s poor form entering the tournament. The alternative is Russel Henley who is one of the highest priced golfers in the field, yet is only the 61st ranked golfer in the world. My suggestion is don’t over react to Henley’s recent form and adjust accordingly.

Click To Enlarge!

RBC Heritage Research Spreadsheet

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Do you want to see a different set of charts? Let me know if there is information you want to see and how you want to see it, I’m always looking for new ways to analyze information. Get more updates, analysis, and answers to all your questions by following me on twitter.

PGA The Masters Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

PGA The Masters Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

The Masters Research

Defending Champ, Danny Willett, will head back to Augusta, GA to defend his title. This week’s Research Spreadsheet includes:

*NEW* Key Stats – Breakdown and ranking of “Key Stats” for the this tournament.
*NEW* Winner vs. Average – A breakdown of stats (using past history) for an average finisher, top 10 finisher and winner to compare for differences in key metrics.
*NEW* Fanduel Cheat Sheet – Key metrics for Fanduel scoring.
Past Performances – 
How players have fared at this tournament in the past, broken down by year (since 1997)
Historic Performances – How players have fared at this tournament in the past, by totals (since inception – min three appearances)
Recent Performance- Full stats for the L5 years at this tournament and L10 weeks on TOUR.
Full Box Scores – All final performance stats for years 2016, 2015 and 2014.
Betting Odds – Odds for each player to win and top 10
DraftKings Salaries 

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PGA Shell Houston Open Research Spreadsheet

PGA Shell Houston Open Research Spreadsheet

shell houston open research

Defending Champ, Jim Herman, is back to defend his title this week in Humble, Texas. This week’s Research Spreadsheet includes:

*NEW* Key Stats – Breakdown and ranking of “Key Stats” for the this tournament.
Past Performances – 
How players have fared at this tournament in the past, broken down by year (since inception)
Historic Performances – How players have fared at this tournament in the past, by totals (since inception – min three appearances)
Recent Performance- Full stats for the L5 years at this tournament and L10 weeks on TOUR.
Full Box Scores – All final performance stats for years 2016, 2015 and 2014.
Betting Odds – Odds for each player to win, Top 5 and Top 10.
DraftKings Salaries 

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PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

Arnold Palmer Invitational Research

Defending Champ, Jason Day, heads back to Orlando to defend his title. This week’s Research Spreadsheet includes:

*NEW* Florida Swing Game Logs – Full Logs for last five years of the “Florida Swing” (Honda, Valspar, Arnold Palmer)
*NEW* Florida Swing Recap –
Cuts made, average finish and average DraftKings points for L5 years of “Florida Swing”
*NEW* Key Stats –
Breakdown and ranking of “Key Stats” for the this tournament.
Past Performances – 
How players have fared at this tournament in the past, broken down by year (since inception)
Historic Performances – How players have fared at this tournament in the past, by totals (since inception – min three appearances)
Recent Performance- Full stats for the L5 years at this tournament and L10 weeks on TOUR.
Full Box Scores – All final performance stats for years 2016, 2015 and 2014.
Betting Odds – Odds for each player to win, Top 5 and Top 10.
Grass Breakdown – How players have fared on the type of grass this week (Bermuda)
DraftKings Salaries 

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PGA Valspar Championship Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

PGA Valspar Championship Research Spreadsheet – DraftKings

PGA Valspar Championship Research

Defending Champ, Charl Schwartzel, heads back to Palm Harbor to defend his title. This week’s Research Spreadsheet includes:

*NEW* Florida Swing Game Logs – Full Logs for last five years of the “Florida Swing” (Honda, Valspar, Arnold Palmer)
*NEW* Florida Swing Recap –
Cuts made, average finish and average DraftKings points for L5 years of “Florida Swing”
*NEW* Key Stats –
Breakdown and ranking of “Key Stats” for the this tournament.
Past Performances – 
How players have fared at this tournament in the past, broken down by year (since inception)
Historic  Performances – How players have fared at this tournament in the past, by totals (since inception – min three appearances)
Recent Performance- Full stats for the L5 years at this tournament and L10 weeks on TOUR.
Full Box Scores – All final performance stats for years 2016, 2015 and 2014.
Betting Odds – Odds for each player to win, Top 5
and Top 10.
Grass Breakdown – How players have fared on the type of grass this week (Bermuda)
DraftKings Salaries 

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