Hey guys, Eric is on vacation this week (have fun, Eric!) so I am providing the preview for this week’s Valspar Championship. I have opted for a video preview discussing some of my favorite players. I reference the Research Spreadsheet as the main tool that I used for this week. If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to leave a YouTube comment or tweet me!
Valspar Championship Research Spreadsheet
Note that this spreadsheet is FREE each week for Pro Members. If you are not a Pro Member, use code “ERIC” for 15% off:
Welcome to Week 12 of the NFL! We are finally starting to see some usable sample sizes and learning how coaches will be using their players in high leverage situations. Also the BYE weeks add an extra dynamic when it comes to roster construction and recency biases. I wanted to mix it up this week and do a video instead of an article. I hope you enjoy!
Predicting the outcomes of games and players is hard enough. When a matchup is predicted to lopsided, it can make the task of a DFS player even more difficult. Obviously you want to target players that are on good teams in situations to win big, but if the game gets completely out of hand, you could lose your best players who might ride the pine down the stretch. I have found success in targeting players that I deem “blowout proof” in these games. I made a video about it:
Be sure to check out our other posts and videos for more great DFS strategy! Follow us on Twitter for up to date player analysis. Good luck!
Please Note: The format of the Cheat Sheet is a little different this week. I have decided to mix it up and make a video this week. Making videos goes back to the roots of this site and thought it would be fun to throw it back for a week. I intend to go back to a written format in future weeks. As usual, these write-ups include about recent performance, matchup, vegas line, price and so much more. If you like (or dislike) this format, I want you to let me know! You can tweet me or send me a note here.
Welcome to the Week 12 Cheat Sheet! Thisis a feature that will be released every Friday throughout the season.
Most players realize that they should be using different strategies for the type of contest they are playing. Traditionally, you want to choose safe or guaranteed points in cash games where you will need a much lower score to beat your one opponent or finish in the top half of the field. On the other hand, to win a GPP you will need a lot more points, so it’s in your benefit to choose players who are more volatile (aka risky). They may put up a dud, but when they go nuts you will have a much better chance of winning the GPP. You should be willing to take on greater risk, because of the significantly larger reward.
I created the “Players Scoring Calendar” and one of the best benefits is to see how consistent a player actually is. The “Standard Deviation” column shows just that. The lower the standard deviation, the more consistent a player is on nightly basis. Those players are great cash game options. Players who boast a higher standard deviation are more volatile and suited for GPPs. It’s an excellent tool and I show how to use it below:
This video shows five simple ways to go against the grain and be contrarian in the NBA. As you get more experienced, you’ll be able to predict ownership levels for many players. One common theory in GPPs is to favor players who you think will have low ownership. If they have big games, you will set yourself apart and shoot up the leaderboards. Topics covered in this video include dissection pricing, matchups, recent performance and more! Enjoy this video on How To Be Contrarian in the NBA.