Here are my MLB Projections! Below you will find both the online and downloadable versions of my MLB Projections. These are version 3.0 and have come through many changes and upgrades since the 2016 season. You can see some of the bigger updates here.

Note that since it’s still early in the season, we haven’t transitioned pitchers to 2017 data yet. The hitters, however, are using 2017 data which will be a bit volatile until things average out.

These projections take will take into account three main factors: recent performance, matchup and ballpark factor. Those three factors lend themselves very well to fantasy scoring.

You can watch me build this spreadsheet here.

Glossary:

Stacks Tab – *New for 2017* – As lineups roll in, this will calculate the projections for that group of players as a whole. Broken down by hitters 1-4, 5-9 and 1-9 (all hitters).
BO – *New for 2017* –
The position in the batting order for that hitter. Updates live as lineups are announced.
2x, 3x, 4x
– The amount of fantasy points a player needs to score to reach 2x, 3x and 4x value on his salary.
PitchWeight – [For Hitters] The amount of fantasy points an opposing pitcher allows with 1 being the league average. (1.2 means they allow 1.2x the league average).
OppWeight – [For Pitchers] The amount of fantasy points an opposing lineup allows with 1 being the league average. (1.2 means they allow 1.2x the league average).
Park – The amount of fantasy points the home ballpark allows compared to the league average.
%2x, %3x and %4x – The likelihood that a player reaches those value milestones.
Mean – Average fantasy points scored by that player.
StdDev – The mathematical calculation for standard deviation.

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