A small 7 game slate today, and we are left with Brandon McCarthy ($9,100) as our top pitcher. He gets to pitch in AT&T Park tonight and gets a weak Giants team. Now tied for last place in wRC+ and wOBA. San Francisco is not a good team, they play in a huge ballpark, and nobody outside Posey is actually good at hitting. I would expect McCarthy to be chalk, but I don’t mind him.
Jesse Chavez has put together 3 good starts in his last 4. He faces a White Sox team strikes out at 21.8%. They are near the bottom in every major hitting stat. Not a ton of confidence in his talent as a pitcher, but on this slate, he is our second option. A K% of almost 21%, Chavez is in a solid spot and in a good ballpark.
First stack we are going to look at is the Toronto Blue Jays facing Bartolo Colon. Colon has been awful this season, giving up 19 earned runs in just his last 3 starts. .375 wOBA to lefties and .379 wOBA to righties, and has been significantly worse on the road. He does not miss very many bats, and the ballpark can play quite small. Top of the order would be my preferred stack.
Mike Pelfrey is a trash can. 6Ks through 4 starts for Pelfrey is not good. On the Angels side Trout, Calhoun, and Pujols are all in play. Pelfrey hasn’t surrendered many long balls this season, but the Angels should be able to tag him early and get to the bullpen. Pelfrey owns a .402 wOBA vs. righties, making Trout an even better one off.